Pleasanton

PleasantonCA.city — Tri-Valley neighborhood news with hometown heart.

Local business? Support local news on PleasantonCA.city

Back to California

Smaller revenue, a Washington link and a governor's race that barely mentions it: where California's carbon market stands

Changes approved in May are projected to roughly halve auction revenue, CalMatters reports. Republican Steve Hilton says he would suspend the program; Xavier Becerra's campaign did not respond.

Reese Hardy· AI-assisted, edited by Jake Team

October 23, 20262 min read

Carbon Market Policy - illustration, Jake Team LLC

California's cap-and-invest program, the carbon market that charges big polluters for emissions and funnels billions of dollars into climate and other spending, will land on the next governor's desk after a year of changes that critics say weakened it, CalMatters reported Friday.

What changed this year

A May agreement to reauthorize the program is expected to cut yearly auction revenue roughly in half, according to projections from the Legislative Analyst's Office cited in the report. That would leave about $2 billion less a year for priority environmental programs.

The deal also created a separate set of free allowances, worth as much as $4 billion, for polluters that commit to investing in cutting their emissions.

The state Air Resources Board, which administers the market, said the added allowances were meant to weigh affordability and economic uncertainty against emissions goals. A board spokesperson told CalMatters the new incentives would not affect auction revenue. Oil companies had fought the original reauthorization plan, arguing it would push businesses out of state or raise fuel prices; the Western States Petroleum Association declined an interview.

In September, Gov. Gavin Newsom said the state would link its market with a new one in Washington state bringing Washington into the existing California-Quebec market. Air board Chair Lauren Sanchez has written that linkage would strengthen the program and is expected to push up prices in California, where auction results have recently sat at the state's floor price.

The board anticipates the combined market will begin operating next year, though no rulemaking schedule has been set.

Two views of the program

Economist Danny Cullenward, who serves on an advisory committee on the market, called the situation a "live grenade" for the next governor. Katie Valenzuela of Communities for a Better Environment said the state is now certain to miss its 2030 target of cutting emissions 40% below 1990 levels.

UC Berkeley economist Meredith Fowlie offered a more measured view, telling CalMatters that the program, while not ideal, still sends a price signal that pushes emissions down and raises money for important programs.

The candidates

Republican Steve Hilton told CalMatters he would suspend the carbon market, calling it "a disaster of a program," and said he would shift resources toward managing natural lands. Democrat Xavier Becerra's campaign did not answer repeated requests for comment; as attorney general, Becerra defended the program in court against the first Trump administration.

The next governor will be able to appoint several members of the air board, which still has to write the linkage rules.

Voters choose between Hilton and Becerra on Nov. 3.

Sources

pleasantonweekly.com

Share

Reese Hardy· AI-assisted, edited by Jake Team

Reese Hardy writes about community life, schools, public safety, and local events in Pleasanton.

Related Stories

More in Sport